Wow, I think I am hallucinating. A rational, reasoned, non-snarky thread on MB without a lot of chest thumping machismo! Congratulations to all involved.
Mike, I grew up in Kansas City and still have a lot of ties there. Your numbers are reasonable and very doable and especially in the Lawrence area. Plus you can always expand into (cough-cough) Topeka since I hear there is one operation there top-heavy with very complacent management.
Here are a few thoughts:
1. You mention one of the phrases I use a lot in
SFS- "Critical Mass". I define this as the point where the business will run with you or without you and just continue as a cash flow machine. A worthy goal and once again- doable in your market.
BUT what you are envisioning- two trucks with three employees just isn't going to achieve the above definition. At this business level you will just have more headaches, more pressures and more problems with little net income increase to show for it.
IF you decide to go for "Critical Mass" you will need to pass through this phase- just don't stay there unless it works for your life-style. (I would hate this level personally.) To me Critical Mass means a middle level of management that can let me take extended vacations without worrying and to support this you're going to need at least a 1 to 1.5 million dollar a year business. Doable- yes but...
2. Do you have the "fire in the belly"? To build a 1 million plus business you are going to pass through a number of very stressful business levels. Building a "Business Infrastructure" with written systems, selling more and more work to "feed your monster" and dealing with an apparently never-ending succession of cry baby employees and government regulations and ... you get the idea.
3. IF you decide to go for it (and please know I'm not being negative in #2 above- building a CM business was one of the most gratifying and exciting things I've ever done!) I would start by building a base of regular commercial contract work. (Including possibly building commercial routes in Kansas City.) The regular cash flow will fund your expansion plans.
Mike, you are getting some good advice in this thread. I would just say don't set your sights too low with the goal being the "two truck- three man" business you are envisioning. Either stay small and highly profitable (nothing wrong with that as long as you have lots of life insurance and are consistently funding investments for your retirement) or go for it and build a million dollar plus true Critical Mass business.
Steve Toburen
http://www.SFS.JonDon.com
PS Seriously, Mike, I hear there is a pretty good
"second generation" business model for you to follow in Topeka and they might just mentor you with a clear non-compete agreement. But remember my emphasis on how long the Chavez boys have been around- getting to CM is not a short process. Only you can decide if it will be "vale la pena". (Worth the pain.)